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P(A U B) is the same as P(A or B)!
Scenario: Considering the following two events, solve for P(A U B).
- Event A: Roll a number greater than 4
- Event B: Roll an odd number
The formula for either of two independent events occurring (a.k.a. "or" / "U") is:
P(A U B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
PRO TIP: We're subtracting away P(A ∩ B) because we don't want to double count for the overlap in these events both occurring at the same time.
What is the sample space (S) for all outcomes on a six-sided die?
S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
SA = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Two out of the six potential outcomes fall in Event A...
P(A) = 2 / 6
P(A) = 1/3
SB = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}
Three out of the six potential outcomes fall in Event B...
P(B) = 3 / 6
P(B) = 1/2
P(A ∩ B) = P(A) x P(B)
P(A ∩ B) = 1/3 x 1/2
P(A ∩ B) = 1/6
PRO TIP: This formula is only for independent events... and in this case: Event A does not impact the outcome of Event B. So we're good.
P(A U B) = 1/3 + 1/2 - 1/6
P(A U B) = 2/6 + 3/6 - 1/6
P(A U B) = 4/6
P(A U B) = 2/3
Answer: The probability of rolling a number greater than 4 or rolling an odd number is 2/3.